Freight rate forecast 2021. This decline follows a broader trend of rate adjustments as shipping capacity increases and global demand stabilizes. This chapter covers 2021 and the first half of 2022, tracking freight rates and changes in demand and supply across key shipping markets. Multiple machine-learning algorithms along with traditional time-series models are used to model and analyze historical contract rate data from hundreds of leading shippers as well as other external macroeconomic variables. Mar 3, 2016 · Trucks are by far the single most-used mode to move freight, moving 64 percent of the tonnage in 2015 and 69 percent of the value. Air Cargo, Rail Intermodal, Trucking, Ocean Freight Growths Supply Chain Quarterly reports that freight market growth is anticipated to decelerate in 2021 as Unlock freight market trends and updates with the C. Feb 14, 2024 · Freight Market Transportation Insight Q1 2024 Outlook: A Breakdown Transportation Insight is projecting an upward trend in TL spot rates throughout 2024, continuing into 2025. g. Jan 25, 2022 · Air 1 In 2021, this was compounded by supply chain issues, which made air cargo relatively attractive compared to maritime shipping. The rate forecasts in this report are derived from market data and proprietary forecasting in the Benchmark Analytics productfrom DAT iQ. Stay ahead with data-driven guidance for shippers and carriers. equipment & space availability are not reflected in WCI Aug 14, 2023 · The freight market bottom is officially behind us. The shipment of the goods occurs via air Mar 20, 2025 · Global container freight rates continued their gradual decline this week, according to the latest figures from Drewry’s World Container Index (WCI), published March 20, 2025. The forecast offers in-depth analysis of the global air trade markets, including trends, regional market developments, and the world’s freighter fleet growth. Freight Rate Forecast - Dry Bulk Market Briefing 2021 The dry bulk market will be supported by a limited fleet growth and anticipated demand growth as the world economy recovers in the coming years. 5% year-over-year), yet freight expenditures decreased less, resulting in higher freight rates. And even late in November, anticipated air cargo rate spikes and capacity squeeze have yet to materialize. As of May 1, 2025, Drewry’s latest World Container Index (WCI) shows a 3% week-over-week drop, settling at $2,091 per 40-foot container. New RFPs saw double-digit percentage rate decreases throughout 2021 and 2022. Diversions around the Cape of Good Hope are expected to continue for now. This shift reflects the ongoing recalibration of the container shipping market following a prolonged period of pandemic-induced S&P Globalの最新 FRF (Freight Rate Forecast) レポートサービスのドライバルク需要と供給の展望では、2021年世界のドライカーゴの貿易量は、石炭 (4. This study provides a more reliable mixed-method approach to improving the accuracy of container freight rate forecasts. 0%) が後押しする形で 3. Mar 11, 2024 · In 2021 and 2022, shipping finance activity remained modest with shipowners relying less on debt for liquidity and more on operations, thanks to a strong market and high freight rate environment. Detailed forecasts for Dry Van Aug 22, 2025 · Four-month moving average for general freight rates in Canada 2021-2025 Leading container ship operators - owned and chartered TEUs 2025 Leading container ship operators based on total TEUs 2025 Jun 20, 2024 · As the Federal Reserve and the U. Online service and monthly insight PDF report. Preliminary data already shows that spot rates were quick to rise in mid-January, in defiance of seasonal norms. To make forecasts, our dataset consists of the China Container Freight Index (CCFI), the Baltic Dry Index (BDI), and the Baltic Dirty Tanker Index (BDTI). North American Truckload FreightRates Forecast Q3 2025 Update Welcome to Arrive’s comprehensive outlook for national dry van and reefer truckload rates for January 2024 through December 2026. Utilizing time-lag correlation to determine the internal relationship between freight rates. From pandemic disruptions to geopolitical conflicts, shippers have navigated unprecedented challenges. Rate stability earlier this year is giving way to mounting pressure from geopolitical tensions, Red Sea disruptions, and early seasonal demand. Sep 26, 2024 · Every ecommerce business needs shipping. This growth was soon revealed to be a bull trap, however, as promising gains in tender Feb 26, 2025 · Where are trucking rates headed in 2025? 7 executives weigh in Leaders at several trucking companies expressed optimism for gradual pricing increases this year. Sep 17, 2025 · The Freight Analysis Framework (FAF) database has estimates of US freight flows. May 1, 2025 · After months of mounting trade tensions and policy uncertainty, global freight rates are beginning to reflect the shifting reality of international logistics. Dec 13, 2024 · Employment rates in the logistics sector: Insights from the Bureau of Labor Statistics on employment trends will affect the availability of drivers and operational efficiency. Sep 9, 2025 · FreightWaves is the most trusted provider of global supply chain market intelligence. Contents Ocean Freight Market update – August 2021 Topic of the month Top 12 carriers’ capacity growth 1 H 2021 High level development Jan 7, 2025 · Logistics Management's 20th Annual Rate Outlook offers insights into freight trends and prepares shippers for potential cost impacts in 2025 amid global trade uncertainties. 6%), Asia Pacific (21. Jan 7, 2025 · 2025 Freight Rate Outook: Navigating the unpredictable We’ve assembled our annual panel of logistics and freight transportation analysts to share their insights on rate patterns in all the major transport modes in an effort to help shippers prepare their freight transportation budget for the coming year. While reactionary and seasonal increases are expected, overall rate levels in 2025 are likely to be among the weakest in recent years. Overall, U. 9M. Impact of Geopolitical Tensions on Freight Rates Red Sea Conflict and Its Repercussions Disruption of Shipping Routes: Since 1 day ago · Coming off the 2021 peak, we entered 2023–2024 with overcapacity – too many trucks chasing too little freight. freight rate hikes. Also, the charter prices for container vessels have risen fourfold compared to last August, according to the Jan 21, 2022 · By Arthur Richier In last year’s freight forecast we described 2020 as one of the most volatile years on record. trade policy volatility and shifting carrier alliances lead to fluctuating ocean shipping rates and extended transit times in Q2 2025. Spot ocean freight rates from the Far East to the U. 6% in 2023 — still above the 20-year average of 91. This year’s Freight Transportation Forecast outlines current statistics and projects anticipated changes through 2035. Global trade has accelerated significantly this year, but supply chain disruption, capacity constraints and Covid-19 will continue to impact recovery and market growth The Arrive Logistics Freight Market Update is a monthly report providing insights on the latest trends and trucking industry news within the freight market. 4%) を中心にマイナーバルク (8. As we look toward 2025, understanding ocean freight rate trends becomes crucial for effective supply chain planning. Enhance quantitative research on port congestion and freight rates. Feb 23, 2022 · The 2021 freight market was no different as elevated demand and numerous supply chain issues impacted all areas of transportation, including air, sea, rail, and truck, which placed upward pressure on freight rates throughout most of the year. Freight services paid in US currency have been translated into Canadian dollars based on the exchange rate May 27, 2025 · Our Q2 2025 Transportation Outlook provides key insights to help you anticipate and plan for the coming changes in the freight landscape. The chart shows the trend of shipping rates over the course of one year (April 2020 to 2021). market, an economic breakdown and our proprietary truckload rate index, the Curve. (Customisable annual Nov 18, 2021 · The recovery of the global economy is threatened by high freight rates, which are likely to continue in the coming months, according to UNCTAD’s Review of Maritime Transport 2021 publi Feb 12, 2024 · The Q1 2024 Transportation Outlook covers key events that will influence the timing and magnitude of the volatility in freight and parcel transportation. 60 in January of 2022. (Annual subscription) Benchmarking Club is exclusive to shippers/BCOs. Recent Trends in Freight Rates Drewry World Container Index (WCI): As of February 27, 2025, the WCI composite index decreased by 6% Nov 29, 2021 · Ti’s latest market projections reveal the Global freight forwarding market grew 19% in H1 2021, largely driven by impressive growth in North America (22. FreightWaves has announced the release of new FreightWaves SONAR van (FSW) and reefer (FSWR) indices, the FreightWaves Scientific National Truckload Rates Per Mile indices, which present the Lane Signal data predictions in a ticker format for faster review and application. Below is an overview of what a number of industry experts foresee. Ocean freight rates in 2019 and 2020, China-Europe (in USD, 40′ HC) Shipping rate estimates in 2021, China-Europe (in USD, 40′ HC)2022 Forecast in Transportation & Logistics Mar 13, 2025 · Ocean container rates, while down 77% from pandemic highs, remain 67% above pre-pandemic levels, suggesting a new normal for shipping costs. dollars) You need a Statista Account for unlimited access Immediate access to 1m+ statistics Feb 19, 2024 · The freight industry is emerging with cautious optimism from a year marked by significant challenges. 5% increase in global container demand and a decline in U. Data are available for states and metropolitan areas. The good news for carriers is that the worst may be past. Feb 27, 2025 · RXO recently released its Q1 2025 Truckload Market Forecast, with its Curve Index showing a continuation of rate inflation first observed in Q4 2024. Feb 20, 2025 · In the Q1 2025 Transportation Outlook, we will cover: Regulations, trade and tariffs and the impact on the freight market. Utilizing deep learning to forecast shipping costs. We build FAF with data from many sources. During Q4 2021-Q2 2022 rates hit roughly eight times those seen in Q2 2021. Jan 7, 2025 · These events disrupted global supply chains, increasing operational costs and affecting shipping services worldwide. Understanding these variables can offer invaluable insights for Sep 17, 2024 · This essay explores the current state of logistics by focusing on three key transportation markets: truckload rates, less-than-truckload (LTL) rates, and international shipping rates. Sep 16, 2025 · Ocean Freight Rates: Spot ocean freight rates for a single container transaction in the selected westbound transpacific trade routes. Mar 27, 2025 · The latest Drewry World Container Index (WCI), released on March 27, 2025, reveals a continued decrease in global container freight rates, reflecting ongoing adjustments within the maritime shipping industry. Aug 18, 2021 · Ocean freight rates continue to set new highs in 2021 Ocean freight rates have soared greatly for all trade routes since September 2020 due to the ongoing impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. As we enter a new phase of economic recovery and evolving Explore the factors contributing to ocean freight rate volatility in 2025 and how Cyclone Shipping provides stability for businesses. In the latest update, IHS Markit Freight Rate Forecast models predict BDI to fall 30% on the year in 2022 to average about 1,800-2,300 points in 2022 after reaching a 13-year high average above 3,000 points in 2021, but it will still be significantly higher than the 2011-2020 average of about 1,100 points and breakeven level. The global freight transport market size was estimated at USD 28. The number of container vessels ordered has leapt-up, with the tonnage of vessels on order increasing by at least 100% in 2021 as compared to 2019. Get expert analysis and pricing trends to help plan your logistics strategy with confidence. Notable Rate Changes on Key Trade Routes: Shanghai to Genoa Feb 18, 2025 · As of February 2025, the global freight industry is experiencing significant fluctuations influenced by geopolitical tensions, economic policies, and market dynamics. The average trucking rates are based on DAT iQ's $1 trillion database of actual freight payments. U. 5%. Ocean spot rates from China to the US West Coast are declining despite robust import demand, possibly due to seasonal factors Mar 1, 2025 · In the past week, container freight rates have undergone significant changes influenced by geopolitical events, economic policies, and market dynamics. Our Q3 Transportation Outlook delivers accurate predictions of economic trends and transportation demand. 7% globally and 24% on east-west trades in 2024 versus 2023. Aug 21, 2025 · Explore the Q3 2025 Transportation Outlook for expert analysis on freight trends, challenges and opportunities to better prepare your business for what’s ahead. Apr 7, 2025 · Stay ahead in ocean freight with insights on rates, capacity crunches, sustainability, and digitalization. We cover tariff changes affecting multiple industries, prospects for a surge in ocean and air shipping in the wake of a temporary U. The good news? A different mindset may now The rate forecasts in this report are derived from market data and proprietary forecasting in the Benchmark Analytics product from DAT iQ. Detailed forecasts for Dry Van The rate forecasts in this report are derived from market data and proprietary forecasting in the Benchmark Analytics productfrom DAT iQ. Mar 2, 2025 · Understanding sea freight rates forecast and market trends for global supply chains The global shipping industry has experienced significant volatility in recent years. This page includes a chart with historical data for Containerized Freight Index. Try it today! Mar 7, 2025 · S&P Global forecasts a 1. Get expert insight on spot & contract trucking rate trends in the U. Jan 3, 2022 · Deutsche Bank predicts the two carriers’ average freight rates will be up 30% this year versus 2021. High consumer demand, especially in the U. Truckload markets faced unusual volatility in the first quarter of 2024, a period often described as the industry’s “quiet season. Jun 11, 2025 · This report revisits shipper and carrier expectations for 2025 and covers trends in truckload demand, pricing, labor dynamics and the evolving role of digital tools in freight operations—backed by insights from over 5,000 survey responses from shippers and carriers across four surveys. Multiple machine-learning algorithms along with traditional time-series models are used to model and analyze historical contractrate data from hundreds of leading shippers as well as other external macroeconomic variables. , fueled the surge in freight Mar 1, 2022 · The graphic below shows the trends for 2019 through 2021 relative to ocean freight rates and how they began to climb in 2020 and how they have continued to rise in 2021. This index reflects the ocean freight and the associated seaborne surcharges of individual shipping routes on the spot market. HMM once more cited the economies of scale achieved from its 12 new 24,000 TEU ships and membership of THE Alliance. In this year end webinar Judah Levine, Freightos’ Head of Research, presented the latest trends in the international ocean and air freight markets, reviewed the year that was and provided projections for what 2025 may look like. That oversupply drove freight rates down hard – spot rates and even contract rates fell from their pandemic highs, giving shippers the upper hand through 2024. Freight forwarding is the process of organizing, coordinating, and shipping of goods from one place to another across international borders through a single or multiple carriers. S. A critical development in the current landscape is the closing gap between dry van truckload spot and contract rates, to a level of The rate forecasts in this report are derived from market data and proprietary forecasting in the Benchmark Analytics productfrom DAT iQ. Freight Rate Forecast - Dry Bulk Market Briefing 2021 Dry bulk market balance to remain stable in the coming years, while freight rates may face correction with a mixed blessing of vaccines The dry bulk market will be supported by a limited fleet growth and anticipated demand growth as the world economy recovers in the coming years. Members benefit from container contract rates, spot market rates, freight rate forecasts, tailored quarterly appraisal reports, indices, container market outlook briefings and industry best practices. It considers the immediate outlook for freight markets and examines the impact on food prices of recent development in the bulk dry market. Inputs include the Commodity Dec 1, 2021 · This study presents a novel approach to forecast freight rates in container shipping by integrating soft facts in the form of measures originating fro… Nov 8, 2024 · As we look toward 2025, the maritime shipping industry faces a myriad of economic forces that will shape freight rates and overall market conditions. Vortexa forecasts what 2022 has in store for freight markets. Shippers have still enjoyed cost savings with spot rates remaining significantly lower than contract rates. What Jan 31, 2024 · Explore the dynamic landscape of freight shipping in 2024! Uncover industry trends and predictions shaping the future of logistics. The Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) produces the FAF with support from the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA). The pandemic heavily impacted the capacity of the workforce across terminals and airports, ultimately causing delays across the supply chain and skyrocketing freight rates. Towards the end of Q2 2022 the market changed, with a marked fall in rates. Inventory-to-Sales Ratio: The ratio of total inventory at retailers, wholesalers, and manufacturers, divided by total sales. This downward trajectory continued in 2023, with accumulated year-to-date global air cargo demand declining by 2% from the same period in 2022. Freight Market Update: June 2025 Executive summary Insights at a glance Get all our top insights from this month’s report in one place. 3% month-over-month, -6. What's happening with freight rates, and shipping costs in general, in 2021? Are they finally coming down after soaring to record highs in 2020, staying the same, or becoming even more expensive? Obviously, shipping costs have a large impact on businesses' bottom lines, so let's examine what's happening with these costs. There was a marked reduction in container shipping schedule reliability in 2021, and the relative cost of container shipping rose, though air remains overall more expensive for businesses. Mar 14, 2023 · After returning to the pre-pandemic level, dry bulk freight rates may recover while container freight rates are expected to decline further with reduced congestion and heavy investment in new buildings. Understanding these risks is crucial for navigating the ocean freight market effectively. Feb 14, 2023 · Easing congestion in Chinese ports is expanding dry bulk capacity and will continue to play an essential role in freight markets in 2023, especially as China lifts more COVID-related restrictions. Freight rate forecast 2022 In 2020 and 2021, we faced many difficulties in logistics like limited storage space, jaw-dropping freight rates, port congestion, and truck shortage. Nov 22, 2022 · This results in a 41. After all, those who don’t learn history are doomed to repeat it! How did the trucking industry fare in 2019? See the latest freight rate forecast for 2025. 8%) and the air freight forwarding market (26%). Q2 2025 Truckload Market Forecast: Spot & Contract Rate Trends Get expert insight on spot & contract trucking rate trends in the U. In the long term, they are expected to face downward pressure. –China deal, and the latest trends and forecasts for trucking. Data on inventory and sales are based on Census Bureau surveys. The global freight forwarding market was valued at $192. DAT Trendlines is a free weekly spot market freight report, providing an overview of national freight market trends. This resulted in a sharp 9% year-on-year decrease in air cargo demand in Q4 2022 from a record-breaking market high in Q4 2021. Bob Mayo at FMI says due to port strikes & carrier alliances. H. economy report positive news on inflation, a major concern arises in global trade: rising freight rates. All of the above indicates that ocean freight rates are increasingly influenced by external factors. 4 billion, up 56% from last year. Detailed forecasts for Dry Van Dec 30, 2021 · Using Signal Ocean data, we analyse the trends and changes across the major vessel sizes in the dry and tanker freight market for 2021. Accordingly, we predict that Q1 spot rates will see a noticeable increase of 3% to 6% over the previous quarter. Dec 23, 2021 · Ocean shipping experienced record highs in 2021 across container and bulk commodity sectors, with no immediate return to pre-pandemic levels anticipated. Forecasts suggest ocean cargo prices could reach $20,000, potentially hitting the COVID-era peak of $30,000, and remain high into 2025. North American Truckload FreightRates Forecast 2023 This document contains our comprehensive outlook for national dry van and reefer truckload rates for November 2022 through December 2023. Expectations for other transportation modes including Drayage, Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) and Apr 15, 2025 · Freight rates are expected to rise in the coming months due to peak season and Suez Canal avoidance, but remain below 2021 levels. The Arrive Insights team generated this forecast through a combination of extensive historical research and output from the predictive models built into ARRIVEnow™, our proprietary technology platform Access weekly updates on trucking industry trends, including demand, capacity, spot rates, and fuel prices to stay informed about market conditions. Freight rates are higher than this time last year, against a background of industry disruption due to the Red Sea Crisis. Get key predictions and strategies to stay ahead. Freight Rate Forecast – What to Expect in the Second Half of 2025 As we approach the second half of 2025, freight buyers are navigating renewed volatility. Sep 4, 2025 · Shipping internationally? Keep updated on delays and how your freight rates may be affected. Shipping stocks performed exceptionally well, particularly container shipping stocks (up 242%), driven by high spot freight rates and increased ship charter rates. Our high-frequency price, demand, and capacity data and analysis allow our customers to benchmark, analyze, monitor and forecast the global physical economy. 2%. A record-high vessel orderbook will gradually increase capacity, leading towards a more balanced market. Dec 11, 2024 · Freight rates are expected to rise by 4-6% in 2025 due to increased tender rejection rates and spot rates, with the impact more significant in the second half of the year. Source: 1) Alphaliner, 2) DynaLiners, 3) Drewry, in USD/40ft container, including BAF & THC both ends, 42 individual routes, excluding intra-Asia routes, surcharges related to e. The Arrive Insights® team generated this forecast through a combination of extensive historical research and output from the predictive models built into ARRIVEnow, our proprietary technology platform Boeing’s World Air Cargo Forecast (WACF) is a biennial supplement to the Commercial Market Outlook, focused on a comprehensive and long-term view of the air cargo market. Detailed forecasts for Dry Van Port congestion, equipment shortages, and vessel realignments are impacting ocean shipping worldwide, leading to significant changes to the market. It excludes specialty freight services, rail, air, ocean and courier shipments. The composite index dropped 4% week-over-week, settling at $2,264 per 40-foot container. Containerized Freight Index - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on September 22 of 2025. Pacific Northwest to Northeast Asia, the U. Current trends and forecasts for Truckload Spot and Contract Rates. increased by 36%-41% month-over-month, with general rate ACT Freight Forecast report provides forecasts through 2024 for volumes and contract rates for the truckload, less-than-truckload, and intermodal sectors of the transportation industry, including the Cass Shipments Index and Cass Truckload Linehaul Index®. This chart depicts only General Freight shipments and includes all accessorial and fuel surcharges. Check it out in Universal Cargo's blog. While far from the pandemic-era highs, the index remains well above its long-term average Will freight rates go up in 2025? Many predict it will between 5% & 10% by Q2. 3% from Q3 to Jan 14, 2025 · December 2024 saw a significant drop in freight shipments (-7. Ocean spot market freight rates against 6,700 global port pairs If you need spot market container freight rate information on other routes to those above, find out more about our Container Freight Rate Insight (CFRI) online service, which covers 6,700 global port pairs updated monthly (2,450 updated fortnightly). Jul 23, 2025 · Average global container freight rates in December 2020 and December 2021, by shipping lane (in U. By examining the intricate balance of supply and demand, regulatory changes, and the global economic landscape, this piece aims to unravel the complexities behind freight rate fluctuations Nov 19, 2019 · Before we set our sights on the freight rate forecast for 2021, let’s take a glance in the rear-view mirror at how the trucking industry did in 2020. Despite the volume decrease, the truckload linehaul rate index showed improvement for the fourth consecutive month The Baltic Exchange's dry bulk sea freight index, which tracks rates for vessels transporting dry commodities, eased for a second session on Monday, down 31 points to a near one-week low of 2,172, amid lower rates across all vessels. Use the latest global freight news to stay on top of supply chain logistics. Sep 17, 2025 · Fed officials are now preparing for sequential rate cuts beginning this fall, aiming to offset tariff-driven shocks while stabilizing growth. importers — is now below pre-COVID 2019 levels. Ocean Freight Rates Comparison, April 2020 to April 2021. Gain insights on projected volumes, rate trends, and strategies for resilience. Apr 11, 2025 · Highlights Analyzed the fluctuations in freight rates within the context of port congestion. 97 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 11. 2025 Ocean Freight Rate Forecast Aug 27, 2025 · This is a summary showing Total Freight Costs for over the road shipments starting in January 2008. Learn what drives costs and how to buy with insights from industry experts. Dec 2, 2024 · Explore the 2025 U. 66 billionin 2021 and is projected to reach USD 72. However, as Covid restrictions were gradually lifted in 2022, consumers shifted their spending from goods to services. Jul 7, 2025 · Mid-2025 freight update: how tariff dynamics, shipping-cost volatility, port expansions, reshoring shifts, and emerging technologies are reshaping global logistics resilience. Aug 20, 2024 · Prepare for the 2025 General Rate Increase with expert insights from Sifted. Why did this happen, and what can we expect for the rest of 2021? Three main situations are changing this year’s forecast: Jan 12, 2023 · Container freight rates oscillated dramatically between January 2023 and July 2025. Detailed forecasts for Dry Van Apr 25, 2025 · Explore the latest shipping container prices, trends, and tips. 2022-2024 Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, the shipping market has been uncertain at best, and extremely volatile and disruptive at worst. Jan 16, 2025 · ATA’s premier economic planning resource, the U. Expectations for other transportation modes including Drayage, Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) and Mar 14, 2025 · Current Market Overview Freight Rate Decline in March 2025 According to Drewry’s latest report, the World Container Index now stands at $2,368 per 40-foot container, marking a 7% drop from the previous assessment. 3% from 2022 to 2030 Nov 15, 2024 · The shipping market mainly encompasses container, dry bulk, and tanker segments, and the factors that drive the corresponding freight rates differ per market sector. Feb 19, 2025 · In the Q1 2025 Transportation Outlook, we will cover: Regulations, trade and tariffs and the impact on the freight market. Learn key strategies in freight forwarding. The state of freight capacity and its impact on the market. About Market Rates National Averages Rates are market averages derived from DAT RateView™, an innovative service that provides real-time reports on prevailing spot market and contract rates, as well as historical rate and capacity trends. Dec 1, 2022 · FTR forecasts utilization rates will average 95. Sep 3, 2025 · Freightos Baltic Index (FBX) is the largest global container and freight rate index, allowing you to access freight rate charts and container pricing. Learn what to expect & how to mitigate shipping cost increases. This report encompases the full breadth and depth of the FreightWaves Market Intelligence platform, including Passport Research and our market experts team. Gulf to Northeast Asia, and the Black Sea to Northeast Asia. This chart gives a snapshot of freight price trends for routes from the U. container volume by 4. These factors collectively impact freight rates and market trends across various transportation sectors. This report provides data on demand, supply and how the latest developments determined the performance of vessels’ earnings. Current average Dec 24, 2024 · Ocean freight rates in 2025 may face downward pressure from an 8% capacity rise, but geopolitical risks and demand shifts could sustain volatility in key lanes. 1 Introduction Container transport is one of the most rapidly expanding sectors of the Mar 18, 2025 · Freight costs continue to play a pivotal role in global trade, influenced by a dynamic landscape of demand, supply and operational challenges. The FreightWaves 2021 Freight Market Outlook is a comprehensive overview of the intellectual capital provided to subscribers. Jul 22, 2024 · Analyze ocean freight market dynamics and key forecasts for 2025, including market size, growth, trends, and strategic recommendations. It forecasts that Maersk’s 2022 EBITDA will be $34. Dec 17, 2024 · Explore 2025 ocean freight scenarios, from Red Sea disruptions to tariffs and labor strikes, and learn what best, worst, and likely outcomes could mean for rates. Apr 25, 2023 · Drewry now estimates that average freight rates including contract and spot will fall 13. 2% 増加すると予測、今後2年間に渡り世界経済・景気の回復と Feb 26, 2024 · In light of these market conditions, we believe that spot rates will undergo their first significant improvement since 2021. 6 billion, up 43% from 2021, and that Hapag-Lloyd’s 2022 EBITDA will be $20. 50 billion in 2021, and is projected to reach $285. Key Highlights from the March 27, 2025, WCI Report Subscribe to the Ship Universe Weekly Newsletter (Free) Composite Index Decline: The WCI composite index fell by 4% to $2,168 per 40 Nov 6, 2023 · Before we dive into this quarter’s edition of our Transportation Outlook, inclusive of our macroeconomic update, spot and contract rate forecasts and top tips for shippers and carriers, it’s important to align on today’s freight market landscape. The year to date evolution in supply and demand paves the way for the stronger or weaker performance of freight rates in parallel Boeing’s World Air Cargo Forecast (WACF) is a biennial addendum to the Commercial Market Outlook, focused on a comprehensive and long-term view of the air cargo market. ” January showed early signs of a tightening market after nearly two years of overcapacity, thanks to the confluence of severe winter storms and a federal holiday. RateView's comprehensive database is comprised of $1 trillion in freight invoices for any lane. Shanghai Containerized Freight Index Shanghai Export Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) was officially launched as of October 16, 2009. Spot rates and contract freight trends shift as market conditions evolve. Soaring inflation, tightening cargo capacity, and a shrinking labor market only add up to one thing for today’s global logistics managers: the triple whammy. Jan 13, 2022 · Crafting the annual Logistics Management (LM) rate forecast has never been easier. duration of this market trough has been unusually long, as it has taken over a year to begin a notable recovery towards equilibrium. 2M to 3. Contract rates, which tumbled 1. Global trade volumes: Data from the World Trade Organization or national customs agencies can shed light on international shipping and its effect on domestic transportation. From global economic trends to fluctuating fuel costs and geopolitical tensions, there are numerous factors creating both challenges and opportunities for ship owners and operators. Jan 29, 2021 · Freight rates have increased during the last year. Aug 21, 2024 · Ocean freight rates forecast to fall in 2025 The ocean freight rates should decline in 2025 due to weak demand and high fleet growth. During the last freight recession in 2019, utilization rates were much . 7% increase in freight rates. Mar 1, 2023 · The results reveal that ‘overcapacity’ and ‘coronavirus’ led to improved forecasting accuracy of freight rates when compared to the Prophet model without accounting for events. Indeed, industry analysts advise logistics managers to expect a steady escalation of rates and expenses. Detailed forecasts for Dry Van May 2, 2025 · Discover how Trump’s 2025 tariffs, climate events, and global trade shifts will reshape ocean freight routes, costs, and supply chains. 1% from 2022 to 2031. 2021 saw a more tepid year, with freight rates overall languishing at their lowest levels in years. parcel rates in 2024 are likely to increase in the near term due to the impact of general rate increases, particularly for residential deliveries. Transportation Sector and Freight Trends Freight Demand Moderation Freight volumes remained soft in August, with industrial, retail, and cross-border flows all under pressure. Robinson Edge. Dec 14, 2021 · 2022: The Freight Forecast In last year’s freight forecast Vortexa described 2020 as one of the most volatile years on record. The Drewry World Container Index shows varied rate changes across different routes, with most experiencing decreases but some minor increases. Port congestion in China supported the bulk carrier rates in 2021, with upwards of 600 vessels queued to load or discharge cargo. These fluctuations reflect the complex interplay of global trade factors affecting shipping costs and logistics. The trend shows potential for higher volatility and further increases in spot rates. 8% this year and 91. Get insights into truckload forecasts, regional variations, and rate expectations. The freight rates in August reached $10,174/FEU, an increase of 466% on the previous year. This new phase is characterized by a market gradually regaining its footing, underscored by positive developments in rate dynamics and broader economic factors. Jan 12, 2024 · A potential economic slowdown could decrease shipping volumes, putting downward pressure on rates in the long run. Historically, Containerized Freight Index reached an all time high of 5109. Learn how to predict carrier rates 2025 and beyond by taking historical and future considerations into account. Freight Transportation Forecast outlines the current state of the industry and provides an outlook for changes to all modes of freight transportation for the next decade. Additionally, it forecasts future predictions for ocean freight rates and proposes strategies for businesses to effectively manage these escalating costs. 15 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 4. Insights into 2025 freight market trends, spot rate forecasts, and strategies for Q2. Jan 28, 2021 · Many analysts have released forecasts for the freight market in 2021 – some optimistic and expecting increased growth volumes while some have expressed market decline. Flows include all modes of transportation and 42 commodity types. This Get ahead with data-backed insights into oil, gas, LNG, and freight markets, updated with each major market shift. May 12, 2025 · The 90-day tariff pause is likely to provide a bump to transportation rates as shippers take advantage of the new window. Stay ahead in the market. Tonnage for trucking is forecast to grow 44 percent by 2045, and value is forecast to grow 84 percent (Tables 1, 2). Its 2024 east-west rate forecast — the focus of U. freight market outlook focusing on recovery drivers. Freight rates were key, as container volumes for the firm’s liner division fell in 2020 from 4. apzo toftzub rxg bhgcxf rxht vthj lhg zlw wizwgp xjzgva